Big BotsResearch

Research reports

Backtests & strategy notes · newest first · 12 report(s)

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Momentum shortlist (live)
Top momentum names above the $5M/day liquidity floor, with regime gate. Refreshed after each close.
2026-06-29
HVF / iHVF Breakout — Backtest Report ⚠️ NOT a validated systematic edge — 2026-06-29
(hvfradar.py) — enter on the break through H3 (bullish HVF) or L3 (bearish
2026-06-27
HVF Radar — Hunt Volatility Funnel scanner (crypto) — 2026-06-27
A new live page that scans the crypto universe for Hunt Volatility Funnel
2026-06-24
CryptoCross Radar — symbol hover tooltip (rank / market cap / 24h) — 2026-06-24
Small feature on the Crypto Cross Radar page (/root/cryptobots/cryptocrossradar.py, Flask on
2026-06-19
US Small/Mid-Cap Universe Build — 2026-06-19
The surviving idea from the flag-rider work (shelved June 10) is cross-sectional
2026-06-19
Momentum Research Log — 2026-06-19
A working log of the session: data-integrity fixes, a parameter sweep, a
2026-06-14
Cross-Sectional Momentum (Long-Only, No Gearing) — 2026-06-14
Recent winners keep winning: each week buy the 8 strongest US names by
2026-06-12
Volatility-Scaled Sizing on the Momentum Strategy — Backtest Report ✅ IMPROVES
2026-06-12top20-universe-and-april-whipsaw.md (the April whipsaw diagnosis).
2026-06-12
Top-20 Universe & the April Whipsaw — Diagnostic + Backtest ⛔ top-20 FAILS
The passing strategy (regime-gated long/short 21-day momentum, top-100 PIT universe)
2026-06-12
Skip-the-Parabolic Long Filter — Backtest Report ⛔ REJECTED (overfit)
After vol-scaling, the residual bad month was April 2026 −13%, driven by the long leg
2026-06-12
Intra-Week Risk Controls (4h replay) — Backtest Report ⛔ REJECTED (both hurt)
Weekly rebalancing holds positions through whatever happens mid-week. Does adding
2026-06-10
Top-10 Universe Momentum — Backtest Report ⛔ FAILS out-of-sample
Requested: redo the momentum backtest using only coins that have been in the top 10, trading a
2026-06-10
Cross-Sectional Momentum on 1d Crypto — Backtest Report
Project mission: find a trading strategy with positive expectancy after costs. The prior